EFL Cup Midweek Review & Wednesday Betting Preview: Arsenal, Liverpool, City, Chelsea, Spurs – All Angles Covered

EFL Cup Midweek Review & Wednesday Betting Preview

Tuesday 28 October & Wednesday 29 October 2025

Straight to it. Tuesday gave us a proper Cup jolt: one demolition, one penalty escape, and a derby decided by fine margins. We pivot now into a stacked Wednesday slate where rotation, tempo and set-pieces will decide who reaches the last eight. Below: quick Tuesday takeaways, then full previews and predicted scorelines for tomorrow. Keep stakes sharp, angle-led, and use your offers wisely — line movement will be all about team news and minute management.

Tuesday Recap — What We Learned

  • Grimsby 0–5 Brentford — Class told early and often. Brentford pressed cleanly, found runners off the nine, and killed it before the hour. Big takeaway for the next round: their second unit moves the ball at pace and creates cut-backs; look for assist markets and team corners vs sides who defend the six-yard line deep.
  • Wycombe 1–1 Fulham (Fulham win 5–4 pens) — Wycombe set the tone physically and forced Fulham into longer phases than they’d like. The Premier League side still had the quality late. Note: Fulham can look passive on first balls; in their next tie, opponent corners over is live if they concede territory.
  • Wrexham 1–2 Cardiff — Derby edge all over it. Wrexham rallied after the break but Cardiff’s set-piece value and second-ball reactions were the difference. Flag that for quarter-finals: Cardiff are dangerous on rehearsed deliveries; cards and set-piece scorer markets carry juice.

Theme from Tuesday: intensity beats reputation. Rotated top-flight sides still got through, but they were tested physically. Carry that into tomorrow’s reads.

Wednesday Previews — Tactical Angles & Predicted Scores

Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion — 19:45

Arsenal are controlling matches with field position and set-piece threat; Brighton are neat under pressure but can be stretched when forced into longer clearances. Expect Arsenal to tilt the pitch, with the visitors trying to punch back in transitional pockets. Rotation won’t change the principles: Arsenal’s rest defence is aggressive, and their dead-ball delivery is elite.

Top angles: Arsenal win; Under 3.5 goals; Arsenal most corners; Anytime scorer from a set-piece attacker (centre-back or back-post winger).

Predicted score: Arsenal 2–0 Brighton.

Liverpool v Crystal Palace — 19:45

Liverpool need a response after a shaky league run. Palace press in waves and can nick transitions, but their recent dip suggests they’ll prioritise shape first. Expect Liverpool to dominate volume in the final third with repeated entries from the half-spaces. If the hosts rotate the front line, the pattern still favours territory & corners.

Top angles: Liverpool win; Both Teams To Score (lean yes if Palace start pace on the wings); Liverpool over 5.5 team corners; Cards up in the second half if it gets tight.

Predicted score: Liverpool 2–1 Crystal Palace.

Swansea City v Manchester City — 19:45

Swansea can play, but the Cup gap shows up in restarts and box quality. City may rotate but the structure remains: patient squeeze, cut-backs, and late-area overloads. Swans’ route is set-pieces and quick diagonals into the channel behind City’s full-backs. If City score first, it can flatten; if not, expect a corners surge before the break.

Top angles: Man City win & Under 4.5 goals; City most corners; First Goal before 35:00 if City start strong.

Predicted score: Swansea 0–2 Manchester City.

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Chelsea — 19:45

Knife-edge Cup tie. Wolves are compact, dangerous on quick counters and set-plays; Chelsea’s possession can look clean until the final ball. If Chelsea rotate, Wolves will fancy transitions into the inside-right lane. This feels attritional with late chances and a cards angle if midfields clamp down.

Top angles: Draw in 90; Under 2.5 goals; Over 3.5 cards; Consider Either team to qualify on pens.

Predicted score: Wolves 1–1 Chelsea (Chelsea to qualify on pens — thin lean).

Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur — 20:00

Marquee tie. Newcastle’s home energy is obvious, but Spurs’ away record and verticality under pressure is the leveller. Key battle: Spurs’ midfield rotations to escape the press, versus Newcastle’s ability to pin with wide overloads and second balls. Expect phases of chaos, then control — and the late game to open up if it’s level.

Top angles: Both Teams To Score; Over 2.5 goals (live if a cagey first 20); Spurs cards higher if chasing; Late goal after 75:00 is live.

Predicted score: Newcastle 2–2 Tottenham (Newcastle to qualify AET — marginal lean).

Market Notes — Where the Value Usually Hides

  • Rotation ≠ weakness. The best Cup value is often on team corners and unders when elite sides rest finishers but keep the structure.
  • Set-pieces matter more in knockout football. Centre-backs and near-post runners are live anytime scorers; use small stakes but big price.
  • Card ladders in tight games. Wolves–Chelsea and Newcastle–Spurs have game states that invite cynical fouls late on.
  • Don’t force 1X2 on short favourites. Build positions via Win & Under or handicaps only if team news backs it.

Suggested Plays (subject to line-ups)

  • Arsenal v Brighton: Arsenal win & Under 3.5 goals. Arsenal most corners.
  • Liverpool v Palace: Liverpool win; BTTS Yes (small); Liverpool over 5.5 team corners.
  • Swansea v Man City: Man City win & Under 4.5; First City goal before 35:00 (lines permitting).
  • Wolves v Chelsea: Under 2.5; Draw in 90; Over 3.5 cards.
  • Newcastle v Spurs: BTTS; Over 2.5 (prefer in-play if slow first 15–20).

Acca Builder — Correct Scores (small stakes, high variance)

Correct scores are spiky by nature. Treat this as a fun, low-stakes builder — the logic is built off tempo, shape and likely rotations.

  1. Arsenal 2–0 Brighton — Control + set-pieces, limited Brighton volume.
  2. Liverpool 2–1 Crystal Palace — Territory tells; Palace can still nick one.
  3. Swansea 0–2 Manchester City — Professional City job, little chaos.
  4. Newcastle 2–2 Tottenham — Chaos game; if your book allows, “Draw 90 mins” or “Either team on pens”.

Alternative single for the purists: Wolves 1–1 Chelsea (draw in 90) if you want a safer leg to swap in.

Make Your Free Bets Work

Cup nights are perfect for squeezing EV from promos. Line up your offers on our Free Bets hub, then run them through the Free Bets Optimisation guide to avoid dead money on short-priced favourites. We’ll drop any late value and confirmed slips in the Telegram group first.

Bottom line: Tuesday reminded us that intensity rules Cup football. On Wednesday, lean into structure (Arsenal, Man City), respect the chaos (Newcastle–Spurs), and don’t be shy on corners and cards where the number is soft. Keep stakes disciplined and ride the angles. We’ll update live in Telegram if line-ups flip any positions. Play smart.

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